Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for AI/ML at Seed
2026 data · Sample size: 140 · Source: Lenny Rachitsky Newsletter Benchmarks
About This Metric
Average monthly or annual revenue generated per active user or account.
Higher is better · Unit: currency
How to Improve
Ehsan's Analysis
AI/ML ARPU is structurally challenged by the "race to the bottom" in model pricing. OpenAI's API pricing has dropped 90%+ in 18 months. Anthropic and Google are matching. For AI companies that resell model outputs with a markup, ARPU erosion is constant. The AI companies with growing ARPU build value on top of the model layer: Jasper's ARPU grew by adding brand voice training, campaign management, and analytics — none of which depend on model pricing. Harvey's legal AI charges $100+/lawyer/month because the value is not the AI output but the legal-specific fine-tuning, citation checking, and compliance layer. The ARPU strategy for AI startups: identify which parts of your value are model-dependent (will decrease in value as models commoditize) and which are workflow-dependent (will increase in value as users invest more in your platform). Shift pricing toward the workflow components. Your ARPU resilience is inversely proportional to your model dependency.
Ehsan Jahandarpour
AI Growth Strategist & Fractional CMO
Forbes Top 20 Growth Hacker · TEDx Speaker · 716 Academic Citations · Ex-Microsoft · CMO at FirstWave (ASX:FCT) · Forbes Communications Council